America is headed for a national security train wreck because President Obama–for reasons of ideology and wishful thinking–believes in some dangerous fantasies:
The war on terrorism is against violent extremists, not radical Islam
President Obama argues that ISIS and Al Qaeda are not truly Islamic, and does not want to offend moderate Muslims by implying the U.S. is at war with their religion.
But ISIS, Al Qaeda, and other Jihadists do, in fact, represent a violent faction of Islam that is written into the Koran and is part of the Muslim worldview historically since the birth of Islam with the conquests of Mohammed in the 7th century.
“Violent extremists” is a meaningless phrase in the struggle for the hearts and minds of the Muslim world. It is also dangerous for Obama’s Department of Defense and FBI to abolish scrutiny of the ideologies of radical Islam to “know thy enemy” and better prosecute the war on terrorism.
It may be even more dangerous for liberty when Obama’s focus on “violent extremists”, instead of radical Islam, results in members of the NRA and other domestic critics of the president finding themselves on the Department of Homeland Security’s terrorism watch list!
Nearly twenty years ago, Samuel P. Huntington in The Clash of Civilizations and the Remaking of World Order (1996) predicted a collision between Islam and the West, predicted the present war on terrorism, predicted even that Turkey would drift out of NATO toward its ideological roots in the Muslim world, as is happening now.
Islam is central to the war on terror and to the future of world affairs–a fact President Obama ignores at our peril.
North Korea does not have nuclear missiles
Following North Korea’s third illegal nuclear test in February 2013, dictator Kim Jong-Un threatened to make nuclear missile strikes against the U.S. and its allies. President Obama reassured the public that North Korea could not deliver on its nuclear threats, as the North has not yet developed a small enough “miniaturized” warhead for missiles, or so Obama claimed.
Yet while Obama was denying the nuclear missile threat from North Korea, the Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) briefed Congress that North Korea does, in fact, have nuclear armed missiles.
More recently, in January 2015, South Korean military intelligence warned that North Korea does have nuclear missiles. Obama’s Defense Department tried to silence the South Koreans, claiming there is no “specific evidence” that North Korea has missile warheads.
Evidence that North Korea has nuclear missiles includes that Pyongyang has successfully tested both nuclear weapons and missiles capable of delivering them. North Korea has also orbited a satellite over the U.S., which in the past has been rightly regarded as crossing the technological threshold from being a nuclear weapons state to posing a nuclear missile threat. Miniaturizing a nuclear missile warhead is also much easier to accomplish than building long-range missiles and nuclear weapons in the first place.
The intelligence community has known for years that North Korea has nuclear missiles.
In 2011, DIA Director General Ronald Burgess testified to the Senate that North Korea probably has nuclear missiles. In 2009, NATO’s European intelligence agencies assessed that North Korea has nuclear missiles. In 2008, CIA East Asia Division Chief Arthur Brown warned the Japanese press that North Korea has nuclear missiles. There is evidence that North Korea deployed nuclear missiles as far back as 1993.
Nuclear testing is not necessary to develop a nuclear missile warhead–as proven by Israel and South Africa. Mark Schneider’s excellent article “Does North Korea Have a Missile-Deliverable Nuclear Weapon?” (May 22, 2013) details some of the unclassified “specific evidence”, including from defector testimony, that North Korea has nuclear missiles.
President Obama apparently wants to escape responsibility for the nuclear threat getting much worse on his watch by denying the existence of North Korean nuclear missiles. Acknowledging that North Korea is a nuclear missile state would also expose as unrealistic Obama’s fantasy of a world without nuclear weapons.
North Korea’s nuclear missiles are a more immediate and far greater threat than President Obama’s panic over “anthropogenic climate change.”
Iran will agree to stop development of an “Islamic Bomb”
President Obama’s nuclear negotiations with Iran are premised on the assumption that the intelligence community can warn when Iran is about to build nuclear weapons, and that Iran is not yet a nuclear weapons state.
But providing such warning, when Iran is already so close to the bomb, is a virtual impossibility.
One year ago, in January 2014, Olli Heinonen, the former Deputy Director of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), the UN watchdog monitoring Iran, warned that Iran could develop a crude atomic bomb in 2-3 weeks.
Seven years ago, in 2008, then IAEA Director General, Mohammed El Baradei, warned that Iran is within 6 months of developing the bomb. IAEA has repeated the warning that Iran is on the threshold of becoming a nuclear weapons state every year since 2008.
The IAEA has also warned that their intelligence on Iran’s nuclear weapons program is far from perfect, that they do not have access to underground facilities where work on nuclear weapons may be proceeding clandestinely–as was done by North Korea during its eight years of negotiations with the Clinton Administration. As Heinonen put it diplomatically in a 2014 interview, the IAEA “remains unable to provide credible assurances on the absence of undeclared nuclear facilities and activities.”
Nonetheless, the IAEA has discovered that Iran has conducted experiments with implosion technology, used in more sophisticated nuclear weapons. IAEA also found plans for a nuclear warhead that would fit on Iran’s missiles.
Iran is allied to North Korea by a treaty that provides for cooperation on military science and technology. North Korean scientists are known to be in Iran helping their missile and, reportedly, Iran’s nuclear programs. Iranian scientists reportedly have been present at North Korean nuclear tests.
In September 2013, Israeli government scientists warned that Iran already has the bomb. Numerous U.S. experts, including former Director of Central Intelligence R. James Woolsey and former Chairman of the National Intelligence Council, Fritz Ermarth, have also cautioned that Iran may already have nuclear weapons.
Iran is probably using nuclear negotiations to do what North Korea did during its negotiations with the Clinton Administration–building nuclear weapons and advancing its nuclear weapons infrastructure so these facts become irreversible.
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