GORKA: The Front Line of This War Runs Through Art Galleries in Ankara and Christmas Festivities in Berlin

Fox News

Fox News

Breitbart, by John Hayward, December 21, 2016:

Breitbart News National Security Editor Dr. Sebastian Gorka, author of the best-selling book Defeating Jihad: The Winnable War, discussed Monday’s terror attacks in Turkey and Germany with Fox News host Bret Baier on Special Report.

Gorka said the attacks were “yet again verification that in this war, there isn’t a front line like there was in World War I or World War II.”

“The front line is when you leave your house in the morning. The front line is in art galleries. The front line is at Christmas festivities in Berlin,” he said. “The fact is, Europe is at war. America is at war, and the jihadis are already in place.”

“We saw in Ankara that this is perhaps the most grievous example of insider threat. This is a police officer. This isn’t somebody who came off a boat yesterday out of Syria,” Gorka said of the man who murdered Russian ambassador Andrey Karlov. “This is somebody who clearly was trained with a weapon, who was carrying a weapon. That is perhaps the most insidious potential threat that we have to face.”

Baier noted that the Islamic State’s publications were urging precisely the sort of vehicular assault that occurred in Berlin, as far back as early November. There were even early warnings specifically concerning attacks on Christmas markets.

“Yes, don’t forget that the San Bernardino attack occurred when? It occurred during a Christmas party at the office where the couple, Farouk and Malik, worked,” Gorka pointed out. “The symbolism is very important here. This is the infidel holiday that they’re attacking.”

“ISIS has learned from al-Qaeda’s mistakes,” he said. “Al-Qaeda was obsessed with spectacle, and with killing as many people as possible. Ironically, 9/11 was perhaps too successful – 3,000 people in 102 minutes. ISIS said, well, it’s not about more people or WMD. Let’s just do classic guerrilla warfare. You don’t even have to build a bomb. You don’t even have to steal a gun. Just get in a vehicle. Mow down the infidel.”

Gorka noted that “mow the infidel down like grass” was literally the instruction given to followers of ISIS in Rumiyah, the magazine Baier quoted from.

“And what did we see in Nice? Almost a hundred people killed. Somebody has just taken that to Germany,” Gorka said.

He said the reluctance of authorities in the U.S. and Europe to acknowledge acts of Islamic terrorism have “become a joke.”

“It’s like a bad SNL skit. I mean, you’ve all seen the memes on Twitter, you know, ‘Could it be terrorism? Could it be related to jihad?’ When a man is shouting ‘Allahu akbar,’ when you see a tactic that comes straight out of the tradecraft of al-Qaeda, of ISIS, being used, what are we waiting for?” he asked.

“It was interesting, a former intelligence officer who’s very active on Twitter said the longer the authorities don’t provide the name of the suspect, the higher the likelihood that it’s a jihadi attack. What are we finding again? Exactly the same in Germany,” he noted ruefully.

Gorka said it was “very obvious what’s going to change immediately” when President-elect Trump is inaugurated.

“If you read, the best advice I can give is, anybody who wants to know what’s going to happen, read President-elect Trump’s Youngstown speech. Not a lot of people paid attention to it. The Youngstown speech is his rhetorical plan for defeating the jihadi threat that is a global movement,” said Gorka.

“The first thing I can guarantee – having read that, having read Lt. General Flynn’s book Field of Fight, he is now the National Security Adviser-designate to Donald Trump – the first thing that’s going to happen is the total jettisoning of political correctness. This idea that the enemy calls themselves jihadis, and we’re not allowed to call them jihadis, that ends the evening of January 20th. The politicization of the intelligence cycle will be finished,” he predicted.

The full text of Donald Trump’s speech on terrorism in Youngstown, as referred to by Dr. Gorka, can be found here.

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John Guandolo: We are Seeing a Convergence of the Socialist-Marxist Movement and the Islamic Movement

phased-insurgency-planJohn Guandolo gives an excellent talk on Islamic Law and the subversive movement under way to replace our government and Judeo-Christian values with an Islamic State. We are in the phase of total confrontation now. This is a full on insurgency. Thank God Guandolo is educating Law Enforcement on this!

Towards the end of the talk he explains that the Black Lives Matter Movement (BLM), the New Black Panther Party and Nation of Islam are completely aligned with the jihadi movement. They share the same financial channels and objectives.

One of the books he mentions is the Tafsir Ibn Kathir, the most renowned and accepted explanation of the Qur’an in the world. As pointed out by Guandolo, it legally defines every verse in the Quran. You can read about it here.

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French Scholar of Islam Gilles Kepel: Prepare for War

sislam-will-dominate1Expect the jihad to worsen across Europe, to the point that many states fall into civil war over what to do about the terror.

CounterJihad, Sept. 13, 2016:

How much worse will Islamist terrorism in Europe get?  According to French scholar Gilles Kepel of the Sciences Po institute, it is likely to get so much worse that European states fall into civil war over government inability to stop it.

Professor Gilles Kepel, from the Sciences Po in Paris, France, said a growing ‘Jihad Generation’ is likely to continue to carry out terror acts in European cities.  The aim of their terror activity is to both incite hatred towards Muslims and, in doing so, cause further radicalisation among young people, the professor of political science said.

He told the German newspaper Die Welt that this in turn could lead to the point where Europe enters into civil war.

 

Specifically, Kepel is concerned that this continual wave of terror attacks cannot be effectively stopped by traditional policing methods.  The French government seems to agree, as French Prime Minister Manuel Valls said this week that there would definitely be more successful attacks even though his government is stopping attacks “every day.”

Partially this is because police do not have anything like the resources they would need.  The numbers of Muslims on terrorism watch lists in France alone tops 15,000, having tripled in recent months.  It takes many police officers to establish a full-time watch on one particular suspect.  The French have far less capacity to watch these suspects than does the American FBI, and even they have only “a few dozen” surveillance teams — far too few to watch the thousand-plus suspected Islamic terrorists here.  There is simply no way for police work alone to deal with so large a problem.

Thus, terrorist acts on the scale of the recent Paris attacks are likely to continue, and the European populations will eventually find it intolerable.  They will then move to expel Islam from Europe by endorsing right wing parties, Kepel says, and that will lead to the civil wars he fears.

Nor will that be the end of the violence.  The Islamist radicals will not be satisfied with destabilizing Europe, in Kepel’s view.  They will want to build an Islamic society from the wreckage:

The long-term goal of the Jihad Generation is to destroy Europe through civil war and then build an Islamic society from the ashes, Prof. Kepel said. The strategy is similar to the expansion of Islamic State in Syria, Iraq, and Libya where the terrorist organisation was able to use the chaos of civil war to slowly build its forces, grow in power, and rapidly seize territory.

There are things that can be done to lessen the danger, according to Professor Kepel.  One of the main ones is that Islamic leaders should reject Salafism, a form of Islam that requires a kind of disconnection from the secular states characteristic of contemporary Europe.  Kepel proposes that Islamic scholars have a “duty” to reject Salafism, and that most are failing this duty by remaining silent in the face of a rising tide of this ideological movement.

The young are particular persuaded by Salafi ideas, according to Breitbart, as also are thought to be the recent immigrant wave from the crises in the Middle East.  They point out that Germany has begun to raid Salafi preachers, targeting some 45,000 in recent months.  But of course that returns our attention to the scale of the problem.  Raiding 45,000 homes is possible.  Monitoring 45,000 preachers full time is probably quite beyond the resources of any European state, and possibly beyond even the United States.

How America Will Be Attacked: Irregular Warfare, the Islamic State, Russia, and China

mr-article2bThe Gorka Briefing, by Dr. Sebastian Gorka, Aug. 26, 2016:

An article I wrote that was published in the latest issue of Military Review: The Professional Journal of the US Army. The articles is a primer on the roots of unconventional war theories behind the current Islamic insurgency being conducted by the Islamic State, Russia’s current approach to warfare, and the progress of Chinese unrestricted warfare.

HOW AMERICA WILL BE ATTACKED: IRREGULAR WARFARE, THE ISLAMIC STATE, RUSSIA, AND CHINA

“[The Future Operating Environment] “will feature the erosion of sovereignty, weakened developing states, the empowerment of small groups or individuals, and an increasingly contested narrative environment favoring agile nonstate actors and state actors demonstrating persistent proficiency in the irregular domain.” —ARSOF Operating Concept: Future Operating Environment, U.S. Army Special Operations Command

“You may not be interested in War but War is interested in you.”—Apocryphally attributed to Leon Trotsky

As this paper is being written, the U.S. national security establishment is under significant internal and external pressures: internally from the consequences of prosecuting the longest war in the Republic’s history, which has seen unprecedented post-Cold War operational tempos, matched by constant downsizing of our forces and sustainment budgets; externally from the events occurring in the Middle East, North Africa, Asia, and Africa, which has included the rise the Islamic State (IS), the most powerful jihadist organization of the modern age, and the concurrent displacement of more than sixty-five million refugees, a historic world record surpassing even World War II. These pressures are not going to abate, which will most probably lead to the reality of our armed forces having to accomplish more missions with less resources.

At the same time, both nonstate and nation-state adversaries of the United States who have become supremely adept at exploiting irregular warfare (IW) and unconventional modes of attack will exploit these forces. This article is an introduction to three of the most important enemies we face today and who we will also face in the future, and how these actors use IW and unconventional warfare (UW) against our interests: the Islamic State, China, and Russia. . . . (read the article)

Listen to John Batchelor interview with Dr. Sebastian Gorka:

isis-beheading

ISIS & Mao: Institutionalizing Savagery.

“Phase One: The Vexation Phase (IS four years

ago). In the initial stage the jihadist organization will

apply IW to execute dramatic terror attacks against

the infidel and his regional partners. The goal here is to

attrit and weaken the infidel and apostate governments

and prepare the battlespace for Phase Two….”

http://thegorkabriefing.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/08/militaryreview_20161031_sg.pdf

https://www.joomag.com/magazine/military-review-english-edition-september-october-2016/0635488001471895116?page=42

Media silent on surge in Islam-inspired knife attacks

Jihadist on the Democratic Republic of Congo where Christians are often hacked to death by Muslim rebels

Jihadist on the Democratic Republic of Congo where Christians are often hacked to death by Muslim rebels

‘One of biggest criminal cover-ups in human history’

WND, by Leo Hohmann, Aug. 24, 2016:

The spate of grisly stabbings and beheadings being carried out by Muslims around the world is not really a sudden or unique occurrence but part of a decades-long pattern of violence inspired by the Quran, say Islam critics.

The latest attack on American soil came over the weekend in Roanoke, Virginia, by a 20-year-old man who used a 10-inch butcher knife to attack residents of the Pines apartment complex while shouting, “Allahu Akbar!”

It happened again Monday in Australia, where a 21-year-old British woman, Mia Ayliffe-chung, was hacked to death and two others injured by a Muslim man chanting “Allahu Akbar!” as 30 other tourists looked on in horror.

In Europe the attacks has been an almost weekly occurrence since the influx of 1.5 million Muslim migrants over the last year.

Most of these attacks receive scant coverage in the establishment media, and when they are covered they are glazed over with an obvious attempt to paint them as anything but Islamic in nature. More often than not, they are attributed to mental illness, as WND documented in a list earlier this month of more than 25 attacks.

From Oklahoma to Ohio, Virginia, California

There have been many knife attacks by Muslims on U.S. soil in recent years. The one that received the most media attention was the horrific beheading of 54-year-old Colleen Hufford of Tulsa, Oklahoma, by a male co-worker at a food plant in September 2014. Alton Alexander Nolen, a Muslim convert, beheaded Hufford and stabbed another woman who were not receptive to his attempts at converting them.

Earlier this year, on Feb. 11, the 30-year-old Mohamed Barry entered the Nazareth Restaurant and Deli in Columbus, Ohio, and mercilessly chopped up customers with a machete, injuring four, while yelling, “Allahu Akbar!”

On Nov. 4, 2015, an 18-year-old Muslim student at the University of California at Merced attacked students and teachers with a machete, injuring several of them seriously before he was shot and killed. The FBI, after initially characterizing the attack by Faisal Mohammad as the act of a disgruntled student, admitted months later in March 2016 that he had an ISIS flag and had studied Islamist propaganda.

Some critics believe the lack of media coverage of these attacks amounts to one of the biggest criminal cover-ups in human history.

Among them is Timothy Furnish, a professor of Islamic history who wrote “Sects, Lies and the Caliphate” and also authors the MahdiWatch blog. He said he’s keeping tabs on the knife attacks. And he believes the whitewash treatment these attacks receive by Western governments and media shows both have taken on the role of dhimmis – second-class apologists for Islam.

“We are witnessing a legion of attacks by Muslims and Muslim sympathizers in the West utilizing, specifically, bladed weapons – Germany, the U.K., U.S., Australia – over the past several years,” Furnish told WND. “Most would appear to be attempts to decapitate the victims, although the media seems to try to hide that fact in a number of cases by reporting them only as ‘stabbings’ or ‘knife attacks.’”

What’s going on here?

“Since the common links in most if not all these cases are Muslim or Islamophile perpetrators, bladed weapons and attacks on the neck area, I would submit that the driving force is the Islamic rubric to behead unbelievers – spelled out specifically in the Quran,” Furnish said.

He cited Sura al-Anfal [VIII]:12 and Sura Muhammad [XLVII]:4.

Furnish elaborated on these scriptures in the article, “Beheading in the Name of Islam,” published in Middle East Quarterly.

Quran 47:3 is the key scripture but there are others.

“Those who take the Quran literally – which includes not just terrorist groups like ISIS and al-Qaida but millions of Muslims of the Salafi, Wahhabi and Deobandi persuasion and major Islamic commentators across the centuries – believe that it is an act of piety to carry out such injunctions,” Furnish said. “ISIS’s appeals in, for example, its Dabiq magazine may be the proximate cause for such brutality. But make no mistake, it is Islam itself which is ultimately responsible.

“When the founder of a religion engages in, or at the very least approves of a behavior, I fail to see how said behavior can be deeded ‘radical’ or ‘extremist.’”

Read more

Tom Joscelyn discusses Trump’s ISIS speech on Happening Now

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FDD senior fellow Tom Joscelyn discusses the facts behind Trump’s ISIS speech – Happening Now (Fox News) – August 16, 2016

EU Migrant Situation Creating Multiple Flashpoints Across the Continent Amidst Growing Domestic Terror Insurgency

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PJ MEDIA, BY PATRICK POOLE, AUGUST 7, 2016:

The passivity that European governments showed last year as hundreds of thousands of migrants flooded the continent appears to be bearing dire consequences as a long catalogue of incidents occurred over the past week.

Most notably, an American was stabbed to death on the streets of London and several more injured by a Somali man with a Norwegian passport who had been living in the UK since 2002.

And just within the past 36 hours in Belgium, an Algerian man, whom the Islamic State credited as one of its “soldiers,” attacked and wounded two female police officers with a machete earlier today in Charleroi, screaming “Allahu Akbar.” And an entire neighborhood has been evacuated today in Liege after a Turkish man was spotted roaming the streets with a machete.

Since January 2015, there have been 17 terrorist attacks across Europe, killing 258 people and injuring hundreds more. Less than a month ago in Nice, France, on July 14, a Tunisian man, Mohamed Lahouaiej-Bouhlel, ran over and killed 85 and injured 208 more during a Bastille Day celebration.

In April, the House Homeland Security Committee released its European Terror Threat Snapshot showing that there have been 35 attempted terror attacks by ISIS in Europe since 2014, with 22 of them in 2015 – an average of 2 per month.

Increasingly, economic migrants and asylum seekers from North Africa and the Middle East are figuring prominently in the news related to Europe’s domestic terror insurgency.

This sampling of media reports from just the past week in Europe gives evidence to the scope of the problem:

Germany:How Ansbach suicide bomber made his way from SyriaFrance:Paris police on alert for Afghan asylum seeker who may be planning terror attack

Italy:Tunisian held on terror charges after pledging allegiance to the Islamic State

Belgium:Priest stabbed after opening his home to asylum seeker whom he refused to give money to

Sweden:Eritrean migrant slits throat of 7-year-old daughter of host family

Austria:Syrian teen refugees murder janitor who befriended them, his body dumped in bathtub

Bulgaria:Trial begins for three Islamic State-linked Syrian refugees charged with terrorism

Italy:Justice Minister tells Parliament Islamic State may be behind migrant flows

UK:London to deploy 600 more police and 900 more throughout England and Wales after terror attacks

Denmark:ISIS tried to recruit refugees from Danish migration center

Germany:Authorities announce 60 asylum seekers being investigated for terror links

France:Algerian man suspected of terror links expelled

Belgium:At least 5 of Paris, Brussels terror suspects were on Belgian welfare rolls

Italy:100 migrants break through barrier from Italy to France

Poland:Parliamentarian claims Germany going to great lengths to cover up crimes of their refugees

Holland:No jail time for Iraqi refugee who killed 96-year-old woman

Belgium:Court releases convicted ISIS recruiter “Mother of Jihad” after serving 4 months of 15 year sentence

France:Interior Minister says 20 mosques shut down over radical ties since December

I reported here at PJ Media just a few days ago about a new Pew Research Center report showing that in Europe during 2015, asylum applications by ‘military-age’ men were extremely over-represented, with roughly half coming from Syria, Afghanistan, and Iraq.

Read more

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Jihadi terror attacks multiply: Will the West submit or WAKE UP?

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The Rebel, by Brian Lilley, July 27, 2016:

Did you hear about the latest terror attack? If you’re paying attention the correct answer is, “Which one?” There are so many, and lately that is just in the West.

What if I told you that in the last 30 days, there have been 160 attacks carried out by Islamic radicals and that those attacks saw 1,590 people killed and 2,412 people injured? Would you be shocked?

That’s the claim made by website The Religion of Peace which tracks terrorist attacks all around the world.

And so while we can point to the terrorist attack in Nice on July 14 that saw 84 people killed when Mohammed Bouhlel drove a truck through a crowded pedestrian area, how many can point to the 13 people killed by al Shabab suicide bombers on July 26?

Those two suicide bombings didn’t get much media attention in the West but they happened in attacks carried out by people that want to establish their strict vision of Islamic rule on everyone around them.

Those attacks happened the same day that Catholic priest Father Jacques Hamel was killed while performing the sacred rites of the Mass. His throat was slit by two young Jihadis in Normandy, France.

The 85-year-old man was forced to his knees before his execution. Nuns were taken hostage in the attack which ended with dead Jihadis but not before they violated the sanctuary of the altar with their callous murder of a defenceless old priest and by reportedly giving their jihadi sermon at the altar – alternating between French and Arabic, spewing their hatred.

They were shot by police, which ended the whole ordeal.

The Somalia attack got next to no media coverage in the West, the attack in France relegated behind other stories like Hillary Clinton officially securing the Democratic Party nomination.

Maybe we are getting used to terror attacks in France?

We know the attacks from November 13, 2015 – the massacre at Bataclan nightclub. We know the attack July 14, 2016 – that was in Nice. But do you know the others?

More shockingly, do you know about the other terror attacks?

The day before Fr. Hamel was killed and 13 people were killed in Mogadishu, did you hear about the 17 killed and more than 40 injured in suicide bombings in Khalis, Iraq? That was July 25.

The day before that, July 24, there were 21 people killed in Baghdad.

On that same day a Syrian migrant, a failed refugee claimant, blew himself up outside a bar in Germany after being turned away from a festival.

We heard a bit about that but not much. Only a little more than the Baghdad bombing.

On July 23 there were several terror attacks but the biggest happened in Kabul, Afghanistan. Three suicide bombers killed 81 people. Why? Because the people killed were Shiite or Shia Muslims and those that claimed responsibility, ISIS, are Sunnis that hate Shias.

I haven’t even gotten past last weekend and we’re into hundreds of people killed in terrorist attacks carried out by Islamists intent on spreading their vision, their goals, their religion around the world – not by the sword but by the bomb and the gun.

The word Islam means submit and that is the intent of those carrying out these attacks, to one way or another get you to submit to their views.

It matters not whether you are a Christian, a Jew, a Buddhist, or a Muslim that might just believe something a little different — their goal is to get you to submit.

After the killing of Father Hamel, French President Francoise Hollande said that France was at war with this strain of Islam.

I’d like to believe him. But despite the onslaught of attacks in Western countries alone, never mind the attacks in other countries, I’m not sure people in the west are ready to wake up.

What I am sure of is that the Islamists, whether ISIS or al Shabbab or al Qaida, are at war with us. They have declared it, they are waging it and they have no plans of stopping so we better wake up and get serious.

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Also see:

The Fifth Phase This will be the point at which an Islamic state, or caliphate, can be declared. The plan is that by this time, between 2013 and 2016, Western influence in the Islamic world will be so reduced and Israel weakened so much, that resistance will not be feared. Al-Qaeda hopes that by then the Islamic state will be able to bring about a new world order.

The Sixth Phase Hussein believes that from 2016 onwards there will a period of “total confrontation.” As soon as the caliphate has been declared the “Islamic army” it will instigate the “fight between the believers and the non-believers” which has so often been predicted by Osama bin Laden.

Beyond Syria and Iraq, the Islamic State’s HR Files Illuminate Dangerous Trends

ISIS-SniperToday at War On The Rocks, Clint Watts does a very detailed analysis of global foreign jihadist recruitment patterns which provides a predictive tool for counterterrorism strategy. Here is his conclusion:

Over the past 30 years, foreign fighters have been the thread by which one can trace jihadi violence.  Committed, motivated survivors of each mobilization go on to power the next round of terrorism. Those foreign fighters that cannot or will not return home tend to join the most promising emerging affiliates abroad.  Arab foreign fighters showed up in Afghanistan during the 1980s, settled in Pakistan, Sudan, and Afghanistan, and later became the backbone of al Qaeda in the 1990s.  Last decade, boys from the Arabian Peninsula, alongside an upsurge of North African recruits, fought in Iraq and soon after powered terrorism across more than a half dozen terrorist affiliates, notably in Yemen and the Sahel.

Language, ethnicity, and marriage often dictate which foreign fighters congregate together as battlefields open and close. As seen in social media recruitment over the past five years, recruits are drawn to jihadi leaders that talk like them and look like them. On the battlefield, foreign fighters mingle with those whom they can communicate and identify with ethnically. French and Belgian recruits more often fall into the ranks with Moroccans, Algerian, and Tunisians.  Russian speakers from the Caucasus and Central Asia join forces, as those from the Balkans band together. Germans last decade, for some reason, surfaced more often in Afghanistan and Pakistan. British and American English-speaking Somalis showed up with converts to join al Shabaab in Somalia.  Foreign fighter patterns are complicated, but somewhat predictable. Examining facilitation pathways and these foreign fighter linkages will be essential for anticipating the next wave of violence.

The trends revealed in the new Islamic State records alongside lessons learned from past foreign fighter migrations point to several actions Western powers should consider to preempt the next wave of violence stemming from the Islamic State’s survivors.  First, as seen by Tunisia’s massive supply of fighters, the West should move aggressively to disrupt terrorist facilitators. If left unattended, they’ll only fuel other jihadi pipelines as battlefields emerge.  Second, closely track surviving European foreign fighters, many of whom are unable to return home as the Islamic State falters in Iraq and Syria.  Where these trained, experienced, and committed European foreign fighters choose to migrate will prove a strong signal of where violent jihad will march next. This will also point to impending threats to European countries as their angry youth, as seen in Brussels and Paris, turn their guns on their homelands. Third, Western powers should determine whether Central Asian foreign fighters, along with Russians and Chinese, will band together as Syria closes.  Regionally, Central Asia, after Europe, showed the second highest increase in recruitment rates this decade.  Chinese and Russian foreign fighter migration stems not only from the opportunities of Syria, but because they’ve been squelched at home.  Should Russian and Chinese fighters, who together comprise 10 percent of the recent Islamic State sample, join with their Central Asian comrades, they will become a formidable, veteran contingent that may power an Asian terrorist group in the coming years. Finally, properly assessing where European and Central Asian survivors of the Islamic State coalesce requires an equal assessment of the opportunities available to them, namely what affiliates and regions offer the best chances of survival, regeneration, jihadi glory and prosperity. Recent foreign fighter records show the ingredients for the next round of jihad, affiliates will supply the recipe.

 Read it all

Clint Watts is a Fox Fellow at the Foreign Policy Research Institute in Philadelphia and a Senior Fellow at the Center for Cyber and Homeland Security at The George Washington University. Prior to his current work as a security consultant, Clint served as a U.S. Army infantry officer, a FBI Special Agent on a Joint Terrorism Task Force, and as the Executive Officer of the Combating Terrorism Center at West Point.

Islamist violence threatens Judeo-Christian civilization

iptIPT, by Steve Emerson and Pete Hoekstra
Fox News
April 1, 2016

Imagine more of the African continent engulfed in the Islamist savagery of Libya and Nigeria. Imagine Jordan and Saudi Arabia undergoing the same turmoil as Iraq and Syria. Imagine a Europe that begins to resemble Lebanon more than its American cousin.

These are frightening scenarios that could unfold over the next few years should trends identified in a new analysis by the Investigative Project on Terrorism (IPT) continue unchecked. Western leaders will need to recognize that the Islamist threat is growing in lethality and geography because current strategies to combat it do not work.

Islamist violence has escalated to an unprecedented degree. Ground taken and controlled by ISIS provides bases for planning and preparing attacks throughout the Middle East, Africa and Europe, most recently in Brussels and France. Genocide against religious minorities in the Middle East is inflicting untold suffering. It is also causing millions of refugees to overwhelm the region and Europe.

Most problematic is that NATO and the U.S. signal no real reassessments in their failing approach to the rapidly spiraling viciousness as they help history to repeat itself.

Engaging jihadists in Libya resulted in the U.S. returning to conduct strikes with fighter jets and drones five years after leaving.

The Obama administration is abandoning a program of training Syrian rebels after spending hundreds of millions of dollars on the futile effort.

Appeasing the Muslim Brotherhood in Egypt allowed for its disastrous rise to power, yet the White House still welcomes them into the conversation.

The IPT – through analyzing current and future radical Islamist threats based upon its extensive contacts, sources and internal databases — predicts that the situation will continue to deteriorate over the next 18 to 24 months without a course correction. Here are four reasons why.

1. Islamist brutality in Africa will increase in fatalities and territory. Terrorism in Africa was largely confined to Algeria from 2001 to 2006 when it experienced 275 deaths on average annually. It rose to nine countries with 11,085 fatalities on average annually during 2014 to 2015. Boko Haram, al-Shabaab and Al-Qaida in the Lands of the Islamic Maghreb (AQIM) will lead its further expansion on the continent.

2. Relatively stable regimes in the Middle East will face increasing pressure from jihadists who will threaten the ability of central governments to provide security. With no change in strategy to confront ISIS, the governments of Jordan, Saudi Arabia, Turkey and the UAE could break down.

Jordan recently killed seven Islamists linked to ISIS in an eight-hour raid that disrupted attacks against civilian and military targets within the country.

Turkish security forces have prevented 18 suicide attacks since the start of 2016. A car filled with explosives killed 29 people in Ankara in February. Yemeni rebels have murdered or captured hundreds of Saudi soldiers in cross-border clashes.

3. With the established ISIS caliphate in Iraq and Syria, and its new caliphate in Libya along the Mediterranean coast, the humanitarian crisis of refugees will overwhelm Europe’s internal security forces and social services. Islamist violence will increase significantly within its borders.

4. ISIS and like-minded groups will build upon their success to launch new attacks on perceived soft targets in the Philippines, Bangladesh and Thailand.

The West needs to recognize the current scope of failure and the momentum of the evolving jihadist threat.

Islamists will quickly capitalize on the current friendly environment. The damage to authority and stability in the Middle East, Africa and Europe could require decades to reestablish once lost.

Also, in a neighborhood like this, what happens to our strongest and most reliable ally in the Middle East, Israel? Weapons are trained on the Jewish state on all sides from the likes of Hizballah, Hamas and Islamic jihad.

Western leaders must take measure of the defeat confronting them and understand that radical Islam directly jeopardizes Judeo-Christian civilization. A very disturbing future may already be written with no change in direction.

Steve Emerson is the Executive Director of the Investigative Project on Terrorism. Pete Hoekstra is the Shillman Senior Fellow at the Investigative Project on Terrorism and former Chairman of the U.S. House Intelligence Committee.

Sebastian Gorka: Metric of Success

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The Gorka Briefing, by Dr. Sebastian Gorka, March 30 2016:

The metric of success in the war on terrorism is not about killing individual terrorists, it’s about dismantling the ideology they share. The connective tissue between the 9/11 hijacking, the Boston Bombers, the Fort Hood shooter, the Brussels suicide bombers and ISIS is the shared ideology of global jihadism. Until we are allowed to talk about their religion and jihad, we will just be doing wack-a-mole for a very long time. I had an in-depth discussion about these issues with Larry Rifkin on his radio show.

Dr. Sebastian Gorka HASC Testimony on Emerging Threats

The jihadis’ master plan to break us

A victim lies on the ground covered by a white sheet outside the cafe La Bonne Biere, in central Paris.

A victim lies on the ground covered by a white sheet outside the cafe La Bonne Biere, in central Paris.

New York Post, by Amir Taheri, Nov. 15, 2015:

PARIS — Still under shock from Friday night’s terror attacks, Paris may need a few more days to regain its signature mood of defiant dignity. Almost everyone had expected an attack but most still hoped it would never come. Now they are all asking why it did.

It happened because the Islamic State, the latest version of the Islamo-apocalypytic movement, has decided that Western democracies, representing the “Infidel” world, are no longer prepared to fight even to preserve their comfortable lives. The Paris attacks came on the first day of the Muslim lunar month of Safar, which coincides with the anniversary of Prophet Mohammed’s first successful “ghazva” (raid) against the “infidel” at Safwan in 623 AD.

Islamic State is already referring to the Paris attacks as another “ghazva,” promising many more. The aim is to terrorize all mankind into submitting to the diktats of The Only True Faith.

This is how Sheikh Abu-Bakr Naji, the late theoretician of the Sunni version of the Islamo-apocalyptic movement, put it: “No one should feel safe without submitting, and those who refuse to submit must pay a high price. The aim of our movement is to turn the world into a series of wildernesses in which only those under our rule enjoy security.”

The sheikh’s neo-jihadi theory was explained a decade ago in his magnum opus “Governance in the Wilderness” (Edarat al Tawwahush). The book rejected al Qaeda’s theory of war based on the assumption that “the infidel” would succumb to Islamic rule with a few spectacular attacks such as 9/11 against New York and Washington. The sheikh further examines what he calls “the five schools of jihad” to reveal their inadequacies.

According to the sheikh, in a world dominated by “Crusaders,” it is not possible to create a proper Islamic state in a single country. He cites as example the Taliban government in Afghanistan. Although a proper Islamic regime, it did not survive “infidel” attacks and opposition by Afghan elements. The Islamic movement must become global, fighting everywhere, all the time, and on all fronts. He wants neo-jihadis to create an archipelago of “wildernesses” in non-Muslim countries, especially in the West, turning them into parallel societies alongside existing ones. They do not set up formal governments that could be vulnerable to economic pressure or even military attack.

To our neo-jihadi sheikh these parallel societies could resemble “liberated zones” set up by Marxist guerrillas in parts of Latin America in the last century. But they could also exist within cities, under the noses of the authorities, operating as secret societies with their own rules, values and enforcement mechanism.

The “wilderness” will provide cover for operational bases. Jihad would be everywhere rather than in just one or two countries that the “infidel” could hit with superior firepower.

The sheikh recommends “countless small operations” that render daily life unbearable rather than a few spectacular attacks such as 9/11. The idea is that the “infidel,” leaving his home every morning, should not be sure whether he would be alive in the evening.

The sheikh believed that if subjected to constant intimidation and fear of death, most non-Muslims, especially in the West, would submit to Islam in exchange for a minimum of tranquility. The only Western power still capable of resisting was the United States. But that, too, would change with a new president.. (That was before Obama was elected). In any case, the sheikh quoting historian Paul Kennedy, has no doubt that “America is destined to fall.”

The sheikh’s theory is built on the concept of terror as the main organizing principle of the mini-states he hopes to set up in preparation for the coming caliphate.

Islamic State’s message is stark: Western civilization is doomed. Its last bastion, America, lacks the will for war. The infidel loves life and treats it as an endless feast. Jihadis have to ruin that feast and persuade the “infidel” to abandon this world in exchange for greater rewards in the next.

The Paris “ghazva” used a tactic that some call “symphonic” because it offered several forms of terrorism in different themes, mixing regular military-style assaults with classical terrorism and kamikaze operations. Thus we had suicide-attacks aimed at a sports stadium packed with 80,000 people, random shooting from at least two cars on people in restaurants and terrace cafes, a raid on a concert hall and the holding of hostages, and a gun battle with the security forces.

Terrorism is a beast with an extraordinary ability to mutate. As soon as its victims have learned to cope with its methods, it develops new ones. Groups of anarchists throwing bombs follow the lone assassin who targets a king or a political leader. The hijacking of passenger jets is replaced by the transformation of aircraft into missiles against fixed buildings. All the time, the intention is to terrorize the largest number of people, eroding the ordinary man’s confidence in the ability of the authorities to protect him, and, in the long run, persuading a majority of the people, who just want to live their lives, to trade their freedom for the security that the terrorist promises in his utopia.

Paris was attacked not because of what the French do, as some Blame-The-West intellectuals claim, but because of what the French are: infidels who refuse to see the light of Islam. The hope is that just as the Prophet forced the Arab tribes to accept Islam in exchange for protection, the “infidel” nations will also decide that it is in their best interest to submit.

Today, however, I see no sign the French tend toward submission. As always, the terrorists may end up like the man who, having won a great many tokens at the roulette table, is surprised when the casino tells him his winnings cannot be cashed.

Also see:

Heritage Foundation Video: The 10th Anniversary of ”Winning the Long War”

711117._UY475_SS475_Heritage Foundation, Sep.10, 2015:

In Winning the Long War, experts on security, civil liberty, and economics examined post-9/11 policies and mapped out a long-term national strategy for the war on terrorism. This strategy balances prudent military and security measures with the need to protect civil liberties and maintain continued economic growth. How far have we come since? Are we better off than we were 10 years ago? This panel will discuss whether or not America has improved in its ability to provide a strong national security, ensure economic prosperity, protect individual liberty, and win the war of ideas.

Hosted by James Jay Carafano, Ph.D.

Speakers:

Paul Rosenzweig
Founder, Reb Branch Consulting, PLLC

David Shedd
Visiting Distinguished Fellow, The Heritage Foundation

Sebastian Gorka, Ph.D.
Major General Matthew C. Horner Distinguished Chair of Military Theory, Marine Corps University

Steve Moore
Distinguished Visiting Fellow, The Heritage Foundation

Video: Christopher Holton on Civilization Jihad, the Global Islamic Insurgency and Shariah Compliant Finance

moa1Terror Trends Bulletin, Oct. 17, 2012, by Christopher Holton:

This information makes up the introductory portion of the briefing that I have been delivering around the country for the past 3 years. It is important given the mounting evidence of Muslim Brotherhood infiltration in the West, and the US in particular.

On 22 May 2007, the Pew Research Center, certainly not a “conservative” organization, published a report on a survey that they conducted of Muslims in America. The name of that report was “Muslims in America: Middle Class and Mostly Mainstream.”

Pew rolled it out as a celebration of Muslims in America. The media jumped on the bandwagon and the report was received with delight.

But there are aspects of the report which deserve more scrutiny and which Pew and the media essentially ignored in their spin during the release.

First a few background highlights:

• Pew reported that there were 2.35 million Muslims in America, including 1.4 million over the age of 18 (the target group of the survey).

This is important because the Muslim Brotherhood organizations, such as CAIR and ISNA, frequently claim that there are 5-6 million Muslims in America. President Obama parroted the bogus 5-6 million figure from the Muslim Brotherhood in his 2009 Cairo speech.

• 30% of the 1.4 million (420,000) were said to be between 18 and 29.

This is important because this is the demographic most likely to be involved in jihadist activity.

Most importantly, there were two particularly relevant questions that were buried deep in the Pew survey that Pew chose not to address or highlight in its release and rollout of the report:

Relevant Question Number 1: Can Suicide Bombing of Civilian Targets to Defend Islam be Justified?

A: Often/Sometimes: 8%

A: Rarely: 5%

A: Don’t Know/Refuse to Answer: 9%

A: Never: 78%

 In other words, AT LEAST 13% of American Muslims believed that suicide bombings of civilian targets was justified at least in some circumstances.

 182,000 Muslims in America over the age of 18 believed that Islamikaze bombings of civilian targets was justified at least in some circumstances.

Here is another important point: This same question was asked of Muslims under the age of 30 (the age group most associated with jihadist activity):

A: Often/Sometimes: 15%

A: Rarely: 11%

A: Don’t know/refuse to answer: 5%?

A: Never: 69%

 26% or 109,200 Muslims in America between 18 and 29 believed that Islamikaze bombings of civilian targets was justified at least in some circumstances.

Relevant Question Number 2: What is your view of Al Qaeda?

A: Favorable: 5%

A: Somewhat Unfavorable: 10%

A: Don’t Know/Refuse to Answer: 27%

A: Very Unfavorable: 58%

Same questions to Muslims under 30:

A: Favorable: 7%

A: Somewhat Unfavorable: 16%

A: Don’t Know/Refuse to Answer: 19%

A: Very Unfavorable: 58%

 70,000 Muslims in America admitted to having a favorable view of Al Qaeda.

 29,400 Muslims in America between the ages of 18 and 29 admitted to having a favorable view of Al Qaeda.

It is particularly noteworthy that younger Muslims in America appear to be more predisposed to violent Jihad than older Muslims based upon the answers to these two questions.

Note that this survey was conducted of Muslims in America, not Muslims in Benghazi, Ramadi, Fallujah, Gaza, Cairo, Sana’a, Tehran, Kandahar, or Islamabad. The tens of thousands of Muslims that harbor these views all live in America. These numbers are staggering and frightening.

Civilizational Jihad and Global Islamic Insurgency with Christopher Holton, Published on Dec 26, 2013 by Children of Jewish Holocaust Survivors:

 

“… new reality makes identifying and understanding the Islamic doctrinal basis of our Jihadist enemies all the more important, yet with each passing attack, we seem to be getting further and further away from doing so.”

Christopher Holton of the Center for Security Policy discussed what America faces in addition to the threat of violent jihad another, an even more toxic danger — a stealthy and pre-violent form of warfare aimed at destroying our constitutional form of democratic government and free society. The Muslim Brotherhood is the prime mover behind this seditious campaign, which it calls “civilization jihad.”

Civilizational Jihad is succeeding through government, finance, military institutions…and though our schools.

Christopher Holton is Vice-President of Outreach at the Center for Security Policy. He directs the Center’s Divest Terror Initiative and Shariah Risk Due Diligence Program. He has been involved in legislation in twenty states to divest taxpayer supported pension systems from foreign companies that do business with the Islamic Republic of Iran, the Islamic Republic of Sudan, and the Syrian Arab Republic. Since 2008, Chris has been the editor-in-chief of the Shariah Finance Watch Blog. In 2005, he was a co-author of War Footing, published by the US Naval Institute Press. Holton’s work has also been published by National Review, Human Events, The American Thinker, Family Security Matters, Big Peace, World Tribune, World Net Daily, NewsMax, and thehayride.com. Before joining the Center, Chris was President of Blanchard and Company, a two hundred million dollar per year investment firm, and editor-in-chief of the Blanchard Economic Research Unit. Christopher blogs at TerrorTrendsBulletin.com.

 

And this is an excellent presentation on Shariah Compliant Finance with a long Q&A beginning about 50 min. in:

 

Here is a transcript of a similar presentation given in 2012.